BJP in Bihar Assembly Election 2020

 



🟠 BJP in Bihar Assembly Election 2020 – Detailed Analysis

🔹 1. Overview

  • Seats Contested: 110

  • Seats Won: 74

  • Success Rate: ~67%

  • Vote Share: 19.46%

  • Alliance: National Democratic Alliance (NDA)

  • Position: Second-largest party after RJD (75 seats)

This election marked a significant leap forward for the BJP in Bihar, both in seat share and influence within the ruling coalition.


🔹 2. Comparison with Previous Elections

YearSeats WonVote ShareAlliance
20155324.4%NDA (with LJP, HAM)
20207419.46%NDA (with JD(U), VIP, HAM)
  • Seats Increased: ▲ 21

  • Vote Share Slightly Decreased: ▼ Due to more split in contesting parties and JD(U)'s alliance realignment

  • Despite the drop in vote share, BJP converted its votes into more wins, thanks to better candidate selection and strategic seat sharing.


🔹 3. Strategic Seat Sharing

  • BJP contested 110 seats out of 243 as part of the NDA seat-sharing formula.

  • JD(U) got 115 seats.

  • Smaller allies like VIP and HAM(S) were given the remaining.

  • BJP carefully chose seats where it had strong ground presence or growing influence.


🔹 4. Strongholds & Gains

Regions where BJP performed strongly:

  • Urban & Semi-Urban Belts: Patna, Gaya, Muzaffarpur, and Bhagalpur.

  • North Bihar and parts of Mithilanchal: Made gains where JD(U) lost ground.

  • Saffron bastions like Patna Sahib and Begusarai remained loyal to BJP.

BJP benefited from the defection of JD(U) voters and consolidated votes in areas affected by anti-incumbency against Nitish Kumar.


🔹 5. Key Factors Behind BJP’s Performance

  1. Modi Factor: PM Narendra Modi was the central figure of BJP’s campaign. His pandemic response, welfare schemes, and nationalistic image resonated.

  2. Anti-Incumbency Cushion: While JD(U) bore the brunt of public dissatisfaction, BJP was largely seen as the positive force in NDA.

  3. Cadre Strength: BJP’s booth-level management and highly organized election machinery ensured strong mobilization, even during COVID.

  4. Digital Campaigning: BJP led in digital outreach using virtual rallies, WhatsApp groups, and apps to reach remote voters.

  5. Youth Focus: BJP promised jobs and infrastructure, attempting to match Tejashwi Yadav’s strong youth-centric messaging.

  6. Strategic Candidate Selection: BJP fielded fresh and winnable faces, some replacing sitting MLAs of JD(U) who were unpopular.


🔹 6. Internal Coalition Dynamics

  • Although NDA won a majority with 125 seats, BJP became the dominant force.

  • JD(U)’s weak performance (only 43 seats) shifted the power equation.

  • BJP had the numerical advantage but continued supporting Nitish Kumar as CM to maintain alliance harmony and project political stability.


🔹 7. Post-Election Impact

  • Shift in Power Balance: BJP emerged as the main engine of the Bihar government, holding key ministries.

  • Rise of BJP Faces in Bihar: Leaders like Nityanand Rai, Sanjay Jaiswal, and Tarkishore Prasad gained influence.

  • Challenge Ahead: Managing governance while balancing Nitish’s shrinking influence and public expectations became critical.


🔹 8. Criticism and Challenges

  • Accusations of backdoor dominance over JD(U).

  • Struggles with employment promises, migration issues, and public sector job creation.

  • Faces growing competition from RJD, especially among youth and marginalized voters.


🧠 Conclusion

BJP's 2020 Bihar election performance marked a strategic victory, consolidating power with carefully managed optics, PM Modi’s brand, and ground-level organizing. While not the single largest party, BJP gained de facto control over Bihar's political narrative and government.

Its challenge going forward lies in delivering development, handling youth expectations, and managing alliance frictions, especially with a resurging opposition in RJD.


Source : AI Based Data ( ChatGPT) & BJP Logo

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